MOREYBALL 101

Simple Explanations for Advanced Basketball Metrics

PER

Measures a players per-minute productivity by taking into account offensive and defensive contributions, and then adjusting for pace and playing time. Basically, PER is a single number that is supposed to encompass a players total value.


Leaders PER
Giannis Antetokounmpo 31.6
James Harden 28.4
Anthony Davis 28.2
Luka Dončić 27.7
Kawhi Leonard 26.7

Source: Basketball Reference

WIN SHARES

Estimates the number of team wins that one player is responsible for.


Leaders Win Shares
James Harden 11.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo 10.4
Anthony Davis 10.3
Rudy Gobert 10
Damian Lillard 9.6

Source: Basketball Reference

VORP

Value Over Replacement Player (VORP) takes Box Plus/Minus and adjusts it to measure a players value relative to a replacement player. The end statistic is the number of points the player is producing over a replacement player, per 100 TEAM possessions.


Leaders VORP
James Harden 6.4
Giannis Antetokounmpo 6
LeBron James 5.6
Nikola Jokić 5.1
Anthony Davis 5

Source: Basketball Reference

BOX PLUS/MINUS

Not to be confused with basic plus/minus. Here’s the creator explaining it: "Box Plus/Minus (BPM) is a box score-based metric for evaluating basketball players' quality and contribution to the team. Set at a baseline of 0.0, you can see how many points, better or worse than average, a player is per 100 possessions."


Leaders BOX P/M
Giannis Antetokounmpo 11.5
James Harden 9.2
Kawhi Leonard 9
LeBron James 8.6
Luka Dončić 8.5

Source: Basketball Reference

REAL PLUS/MINUS

Similar to basic plus-minus in theory, but better because it attempts to isolate the effect of each player regardless of who else is on the court while they are playing. From ESPN: "this metric isolates the unique plus-minus impact of each NBA player by adjusting for the effects of each teammate and opposing player. The RPM model sifts through more than 230,000 possessions each NBA season to tease apart the "real" plus-minus effects attributable to each player."


Leaders REAL P/M
Giannis Antetokounmpo 7.96
LeBron James 6.86
James Harden 5.71
Kawhi Leonard 4.08
Luka Doncic 3.8

Source: ESPN

WARP

This metric has a college-stats-level formula but is intended to measure a players value compared to a “replacement” player. You can read about it here. This stat aims to measure how much better a player is compared to a player on a minimum salary (i.e. not a rotation player).


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eFG%

Effective Field-Goal Percentage. Formula: (FG+0.5*3P)/FGA. eFG% fixes regular FG% to take into account that three-pointers are worth more than two-pointers. Example: Player A makes 5/10 layups and player B makes 5/10 three pointers. Player A and B both have 50% FG% but Player A has 50% eFG% while Player B has 75% eFG%.


Leaders eFG %
Mitchell Robinson 0.742
Rudy Gobert 0.698
Duncan Robinson 0.665
Brandon Clarke 0.648
Jarrett Allen 0.646

Source: Basketball Reference

TS%

True Shooting Percentage. A measure of a players shooting percentage/accuracy that takes into account two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws. This is a pretty useful and uncontroversial advanced stat.


Leaders TS %
Mitchell Robinson 0.726
Rudy Gobert 0.7
Duncan Robinson 0.678
Brandon Clarke 0.67
John Collins 0.659

Source: Basketball Reference

USG%

Usage Rate. Measures the percentage of a team’s plays that end with a specific player shooting, getting fouled, or turning it over. If you see this stat, just think of Russell Westbrook.


Leaders USG %
Giannis Antetokounmpo 37.4
Luka Dončić 37
James Harden 36.4
Trae Young 34.9
Bradley Beal 34.4

Source: Basketball Reference

AST%

Assist Percentage. Like assists, only better. Assist percentage adjusts assists for playing time and pace, allowing you to more accurately compare playmaking ability. Unlike assists, however, this stat doesn't give you a discreet number of made shots assisted by a player.


Leaders Assist %
LeBron James 49.7
Trae Young 45.6
Luka Dončić 45.3
Derrick Rose 40.5
Ricky Rubio 39.9

Source: Basketball Reference

STL%

Steal Percentage. Like steals, only better (adjusted for pace and playing time).


Leaders Steal %
Kris Dunn 3.8
Dejounte Murray 3.3
Ben Simmons 2.9
Andre Drummond 2.8
Thaddeus Young 2.8

Source: Basketball Reference

BLK%

Block Percentage. Again, like blocks, only better (due to adjustments for pace and playing time).


Leaders Block %
Hassan Whiteside 8.3
Brook Lopez 8
Mitchell Robinson 8
Myles Turner 6.5
Anthony Davis 6.2

Source: Basketball Reference

TOV%

Turnover Percentage. Like turnovers, but adjusted for pace and playing time. This value indicates the percent of plays a player makes that result in turnovers.


Leaders Turnover %
Langston Galloway 6.5
Tim Hardaway 6.6
Derrick Jones 6.8
Terrence Ross 6.8
Austin Rivers 6.9

Source: Basketball Reference

ORB%

Offensive Rebound Percentage. The percentage of all total offensive rebounds that a player grabs while he's on the court.


Leaders ORB %
Ivica Zubac 15.2
Andre Drummond 14.9
Dwight Howard 14.6
Tristan Thompson 14.5
Steven Adams 14.4

Source: Basketball Reference

DRB%

Defensive Rebound Percentage. The percentage of all total defensive rebounds that a player grabs while he's on the court.


Leaders DRB %
Andre Drummond 37.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo 34.5
DeAndre Jordan 34.2
Hassan Whiteside 33.4
Joel Embiid 33.1

Source: Basketball Reference

ORtg

Offensive Rating. The total points produced by a player per 100 possessions. Useful because it allows comparing players across pace and number of possessions.


Leaders ORTG
Mitchell Robinson 144
Ivica Zubac 131.8
George Hill 131.6
Rudy Gobert 130.2
Daniel Theis 130.1

Source: Basketball Reference

DRtg

Defensive Rating. Total points allowed by a player per 100 possessions. (Lower is obviously better).


Leaders DRTG
Giannis Antetokounmpo 96.3
Brook Lopez 99
Donte DiVincenzo 100.1
Anthony Davis 100.8
Dwight Howard 102

Source: Basketball Reference

A 'LEBRON'

The most advanced of all advanced stats: 27 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists. Note: A true 'Lebron' is exactly 27,7,and 7. However, these are very rare so the table below reflects performances of 27-7-7 and greater.


Leaders 'Lebrons'
James Harden 18
LeBron James 17
Giannis Antetokounmpo 16
Russell Westbrook 15
Bradley Beal 8

Source: Basketball Reference